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SAN DIEGO NEWSLETTER 3rd Quarter 2014

The San Diego market remains strong in Q3 2014.  Coastal prices for lots and homes are at or near record highs.  All indications are for continued strength for the foreseeable future based on strengthening job growth and low-interest rates.

New Home Trends

San Diego County currently has 57 actively selling communities with a majority (33%) of the units being offered as attached product. Of the 21 builders in the San Diego market, Standard Pacific and Shea Homes each have 9 actively selling communities making them the most active builders. Sales per month are averaging 2.74 per development. The average price per square foot is $285. Average square feet is 2,810.

SD Newsletter New Home TrendsTo view the entire San Diego Newsletter click on the following link: San Diego Newsletter 3rd Quarter 2014

Want to receive our San Diego Newsletter every quarter?  Email Katie Spitznagel at kspitznagel@landadvisors.com to be added to the distribution list.

 

Source: David Landes, Marketing Consultant, (858) 568-7428 ext.11 and Devin Jenkins, Marketing Consultant, (858) 568-7428 ext.13

 

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Otay Ranch Property Sold

Moller plans 1,000 homes starting about 2016 overlooking east side of Otay Lake

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A section of property from Otay Ranch’s master-planned community — 13A — overlooking Otay Lakes in eastern Chula Vista has been sold for $21 million with up to 1,007 homes planned to start construction in about two years.

The buyer was Moller Otay Lakes Investment and the seller, Otay Village (San Diego) ASLI V. David Landes and Greg Vogel represented the seller and the buyers represented themselves.

Landes said once development details have been completed, construction can begin on both executive and workforce housing.

East of the Moller property is Village 13B, overseen by Baldwin & Sons. It is projected to include about 900 homes, a 200-room resort hotel and up to 20,000 square feet of commercial space.

Stephen Haase, Baldwin’s senior vice president for forward planning, said Village 13B likely will follow by one or two years the westerly village. Both sections are currently located in unincorporated land and require approval from the county, possibly next year.

Otay Ranch, started in the 1980s, is about half way to completion, Haase said, with about 15,000 more homes planned on several more villages.

“We know we have demand because of population and household growth,” Haase said, “but it will be more measured than in the 2000s.”

Article published April 24, 2014 by Roger Showley at U-T San Diego

http://www.utsandiego.com/news/2014/apr/24/otay-ranch-land-sale-moller/

For more information please contact David Landes at (858) 568-7428 or Greg Vogel at (480) 483-8100

San Diego County: A Shortage of Land in a Housing Market Screaming For Inventory

You don’t have to be a whiz at Economics 101 to understand the supply and demand imbalance affecting available housing and developable land in San Diego County.  You only need to drive around town or talk to neighbors in order to understand that the County is poised to experience a crises with respect to finding available housing to meet the demand.

According to the San Diego Association of Governments, the pace of residential building permits in San Diego County over the last five years is about half of what the region now needs each year (12,000 units needed annually).  In addition, only approximately 4,300 resale homes are currently on the market within San Diego County – a four year low according to numbers from the local Realtors Association.  A six month supply of housing inventory has historically been associated with a balance in supply and demand.

Currently, there is less than a two month supply of housing inventory in San Diego County!

Building Permit Chart

The scarcity of housing supply has fueled double-digit annual increases in the median price of homes sold in San Diego County in each of the past seven months, according to Data Quick based in La Jolla.  Based upon a recent per square footage analysis from the Greater San Diego Association of Realtors, Single Family Home prices have risen 14% from a year ago and Condominium/Townhouse resale values have skyrocketed 21%.

According to Data Quick, the 19% gain in the price of homes sold in March 2013 was the highest annual gain seen since January of 2005 (a few months before the peak in home values prior to the recently past recession).

Would-be buyers active in the resale market must compete with a significant percentage of “all cash” buyers (now accounting for approximately a third of all transactions).  Thus, there is amped up demand for new homes which once represented one sale for every four to six resales.  New home sales made up only 7% of total residential home sales in San Diego County in March 2013.  The drop in market share shows that fewer homes are being constructed and fewer acres of developable land are available for builders.

Future demand for housing may only increase as unemployment eases and low interest rates (now below 4%) jump start throngs of current renters who understand that their total monthly obligations for a condominium or townhome are likely now less then the rent they are paying each month.

As a result, LAO is now seeing unprecedented demand for both entitled and un-entitled subdivision land throughout the greater San Diego Metropolitan Area.

Source: Bob McFarland, Marketing Consultant, (858) 568-7428